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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Oct 17 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in 
association with a non-tropical low pressure system located about 
500 miles east-southeast of Bermuda.  Continued slow development 
is expected, and a subtropical depression or storm is very likely 
to form during the next day or two while the low meanders well to 
the southeast of Bermuda.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days
over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Some gradual development of 
this system will be possible through the middle of next week while 
it moves slowly northward or north-northwestward over the western 
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Blake