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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Aug 12 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Fred, located inland over northwestern Haiti.

1. Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with a 
tropical wave located about 1500 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. 
Environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more 
conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form by 
early next week while the system moves generally westward at about 
20 mph across the tropical Atlantic.  This system is expected to 
reach portions of the Leeward Islands late Saturday or early Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi