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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 9 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Earl, located a couple of hundred miles east-northeast of Bermuda.

1. Central Tropical Atlantic: 
A gale-force low pressure system is located about 1100 miles east of 
the Leeward Islands. Although the low has a well-defined center of 
circulation, strong upper-level winds have caused most of the 
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the 
low to be displaced well to its northeast. The strong upper-level 
winds are forecast to persist for the next several days and it is 
becoming less likely that a short-lived tropical storm will form. 
Regardless of development, the disturbance is forecast to move 
generally west-northwestward near 15 mph across the central 
subtropical Atlantic. For more information on this system, including 
gale warnings, please refer to the High Seas Forecasts issued by the 
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south of the Cabo 
Verde Islands is producing a disorganized area of showers and 
thunderstorms.  Development of this system, if any, is expected to 
be slow to occur while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 
15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic 
through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

3. Near the Coast of Africa:
Another tropical wave is forecast to move off the coast of Africa 
by early next week. Some gradual development of the wave will be 
possible after it moves over water and heads generally westward 
over the far eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster D. Zelinsky