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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED JUL 30 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Showers and thunderstorms have increased a little in association
with a broad area of low pressure located about 1100 miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  Environmental
conditions appear favorable for development of this system during
the next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. An area of low pressure located about 1600 miles east-southeast of
the Big Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized cloudiness and
showers.  Any development of this system should be slow to occur
during the next few days while it moves westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

3. An area of low pressure is expected to form well southwest of the
southern coast of Mexico this weekend.  Some gradual development of
this system is possible after that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

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