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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED OCT 15 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms
associated with an elongated area of low pressure is located a few
hundred miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Environmental
conditions are conducive for the gradual development of this system
into a tropical depression over the next couple of days as it moves
northwestward or northward toward the coast of Mexico.  Regardless
of whether or not a tropical cyclone forms, heavy rains will spread
across southwestern Mexico over the next few days.  These rains
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Roberts

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