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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT FRI OCT 21 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south-
southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated with a broad
area of low pressure.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be
generally conducive for development of this disturbance over the
next few days, and a tropical depression will likely form early next
week while the system moves toward the west-northwest at about 10 to
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

2. Cloudiness and showers associated with a small low pressure area
centered about 775 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula have decreased since yesterday.  Any
development of this system is expected to be slow to occur before
upper-level winds become too strong for formation this weekend.
This system is expected to drift northward or northwestward over the
next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Forecaster Blake