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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PST FRI NOV 11 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A broad area of low pressure located about 450 miles southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico, has become better defined since yesterday.
However, shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the low
remains disorganized due to strong upper-level winds.  Although some
further increase in organization of this system is possible during
the next 12 to 24 hours, even stronger upper-level winds are likely
to preclude tropical cyclone formation as the low moves north-
northeastward.  Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, locally
heavy rainfall is possible over portions of southwestern and central
Mexico during the next couple of days in association with this
disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

Forecaster Kimberlain