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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Jul 13 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Satellite imagery indicates that an area of low pressure located
about 700 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula continues to show increasing signs of organization.
Environmental conditions remain favorable for continued development,
and a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or on Wednesday
while the low moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
2. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop well south of the
coast of southern Mexico late this week and move westward at 10 to
15 mph. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for
gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form
this weekend well offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch