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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Jul 25 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. An area of low pressure located about 1200 miles east-southeast of
the Hawaiian Islands continues to move westward at about 15 mph.
Showers and thunderstorms associated with the system have persisted
for much of the day, but they remain displaced to the northwest and
north of the circulation center. Environmental conditions are
expected to remain conducive for some additional development during
the next day or so, and only a slight increase in the organization
of the system would result in the development of a tropical
depression. The low is forecast to move into the Central Pacific
basin on Monday morning, and on Tuesday conditions are expected to
become unfavorable for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
2. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop by midweek a few
hundred miles south or southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.
Thereafter, some gradual development is possible through late this
week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15
mph, remaining a couple of hundred miles offshore of the coast of
southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Forecaster Brown