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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Aug 21 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Tropical Storm Grace, located over east-central Mexico, is 
forecast to  dissipate over Mexico by early Sunday.  However, 
Grace's remnants are expected to continue moving westward 
and emerge over the eastern Pacific Ocean off the west-central coast 
of Mexico by Sunday afternoon.  Environmental conditions are 
forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression 
is likely to form by early next week while the system moves westward 
at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of 
southern Mexico early next week.  Environmental conditions are 
expected to be conducive for some gradual development thereafter, 
and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week.  
The system is forecast to move generally west-northwestward at 10 to 
15 mph, near or just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Pasch