765 
AXPZ20 KNHC 252245
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion...Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Tue Mar 25 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.

Updated Forecast paragraph in the Offshore Waters section for
Central America, Colombia and near Ecuador

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A near-equatorial trough extends southwestward from near the
Panama-Colombia border across 00N100W to 03N110W. An ITCZ 
extends from 05N84W TO 01S100W...AND FROM 03N120W TO 06N140W. 
Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 00N to 09S 
between 77W and 91W, and from 06S to 00S between 86W and 107W,
from 06S to 04S W of 136W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A broad surface ridge extends southeastward from a 1020 mb high 
near 27N131W to near the Revillagigedo Islands. This ridge 
dominates the offshore waters of Baja California and central
Mexico, supporting gentle to moderate NW to N winds and 6 to 8 
ft seas in moderate NW swell. Fresh to strong northerly gap winds
with 5 to 6 ft seas are present at the Gulf of Tehuantepec. 
Otherwise, light to gentle winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft in mixed 
moderate swells prevail for the rest of the southern Mexico 
offshore waters. In the Gulf of California, light to gentle winds
and 1 to 3 ft seas are evident.

For the forecast, the aforementioned surface ridge will sustain 
gentle to moderate NW to N winds west of Baja California until 
Wed, then cause moderate to fresh with locally strong winds 
through the weekend. Moderate to fresh gap winds at Tehuantepec 
will become strong to near-gale force on Wed before subsiding on 
Wed night. Residual NW swell is going to maintain rough seas off 
Baja California and near the Revillagigedo Islands through Fri. 
In the long term, a new set of large NW swell related to a cold 
front is expected to cause very rough seas in the same area by 
Sat. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to fresh trade winds across the southwestern Caribbean
are sustaining moderate to fresh NE to E winds along with 5 to 6
ft seas at the Papagayo region, and the far southwestern offshore
waters of Guatemala/El Salvador. Moderate northerly winds and 
seas of 3 to 5 ft are noted in the Gulf of Panama. Otherwise, 
mostly gentle NW to NE winds and seas at 4 to 5 ft dominate 
offshores of Central America and Colombia. Near the Galapagos 
Island and Ecuador, gentle to moderate SW to NW winds and 5 to 6 
ft seas prevail.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh trades across the 
southwestern Caribbean Sea will continue to support fresh to 
strong NE to E winds at the Papagayo region through Fri, 
especially during the nighttime hours. These winds will also 
cause rough seas across the Papagayo regional offshore waters, 
and at the far southwestern offshore waters of El Salvador. In 
the Gulf of Panama, gentle to moderate with locally fresh 
northerly winds will persist through Fri. In the long term, 
trades at the southwestern Caribbean should subside on Sat which 
will allow winds at the Papagayo region to decrease.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA....

A broad surface ridge extends southeastward from a 1020 mb high 
near 27N131W to near the Revillagigedo Islands. North of 20N, this
feature is supporting gentle to moderate winds of NW to NE east 
of 130W, and SE to SW west of 130W. Seas in the region are from 6
to 8 ft in moderate NW swell. From 20N southward to near the
ITCZ, moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds with 7 to 9 ft seas
are seen west of 110W. Gentle to moderate NW to NE winds with
seas of 4 to 6 ft in mixed moderate swells are present west of 
110W, north of the ITCZ and near-equatorial trough.

For the forecast, the high pressure will gradually weaken while a
cold front move through the East Pacific toward Baja California 
tonight through Fri. Large NW swell associated with this front
will cause seas north of 16N to build and become very rough to
high over the next several days. This front will reach from 
30N135W to 26N140W by Wed morning, and from 30N130W to 25N140W by
Wed night. As this front gradually weakens this weekend, decaying
NW swell should allow seas to slowly subside.

$$

Chan