025 
AXNT20 KNHC 102226
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Apr 11 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
2200 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... 

The monsoon trough extends from near 06N11W to 03N16W, where it 
transitions to the ITCZ and extends to near 03S44W. Scattered 
moderate convection is from 01N to 06N between 14W and 30W.

GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1023 mb high pressure is centered near 27N91W. As a result, 
light to gentle anticyclonic winds and 1 to 3 ft seas prevail 
across the Gulf. The exception is near the west coast of the 
Yucatan Peninsula, where moderate to locally fresh NE winds have 
developed.

For the forecast, tranquil weather will prevail through Fri 
morning. A relatively weak cold front will move through the E Gulf
tonight through Sat. Fresh to occasionally strong NW to N winds 
will follow the front over the NE Gulf Fri night into Sat before 
diminishing. High pressure will build in the wake of the front 
with moderate to fresh S return flow developing over the W Gulf 
Sun and Mon before diminishing. 

CARIBBEAN SEA... 

A stationary front extends from E Cuba to E Honduras with 
moderate to fresh N winds and 4-6 ft seas analyzed behind the 
front across the NW Caribbean Sea. Mainly moderate trades and 4-6
ft seas prevail elsewhere across the Caribbean, with locally 
fresh trades possible in the south-central Caribbean off the coast
of Colombia.

For the forecast, the stationary front dissipate tonight. The 
remnants of the front will strengthen winds off Nicaragua Fri and 
continue through the weekend before diminishing on Mon. Elsewhere,
fresh to locally strong trades will prevail in the south-central 
Caribbean into the weekend before strengthening early next week. 

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from 31N71W to 1015 mb low pressure
centered near 28N74W to eastern Cuba. West of the frontal
boundary, 6 to 8 ft seas and fresh NE winds are analyzed. North 
of 25N east of 30W, moderate to fresh winds with 7-10 ft seas 
prevail behind a slowly dissipating cold front. South of 14N 
across the basin, 8-9 ft seas prevail in N swell. The remainder 
of the tropical Atlantic is experiencing moderate or weaker winds 
with 4-7 ft seas in open waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned low will 
gradually weaken through the end of the week. A cold front will 
move off the coast of Florida late Fri. The front will progress 
across the forecast waters, followed by fresh to strong W to NW 
winds north of 29N Sat into Mon. High pressure will build in the 
wake of the front by early next week. 

$$
Konarik