000
AXNT20 KNHC 261731
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Feb 26 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1710 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...Atlantic Ocean Gale-Force Wind Warning...

The Gale-Force Wind Warning is forecast to be ending later this 
afternoon. Expect, still:

gale-force SW winds, and rough to very rough seas, from 29N to 31N
between 62W and 72W. An exception is for gale-force W to NW winds
between 66W and 70W. Strong to near gale-force S to SW winds, and
rough seas, are elsewhere to the east of the cold front from 26N 
to 31N between 57W and 67W. Strong to near gale-force W to NW 
winds, and rough seas, are elsewhere to the west of the cold 
front from 28N to 31N between 67W and 74W. 

The current weather situation: A 1007 mb low pressure center is 
close to 32N67W. A cold front passes through 31N66W, to 24N70W, to
the SE tip of Cuba. A surface trough is about 300 nm to the NW of
the cold front, and it reaches the Florida Keys. 

Please, read the latest NWS High Seas Forecast, that is issued by
the National Hurricane Center, at the website 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, for more 
information.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... 

The monsoon trough passes through the southern coastal plains of
Liberia close to 05N09W, to 03N18W, to 01N23W. The ITCZ continues
from 01N23W, to 02N27W, crossing the Equator along 31W, to 
03S42W at the coast of Brazil. Precipitation: widely scattered 
moderate to isolated strong is from 07N southward.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1017 mb high pressure center is close to 28N88W. Broad surface
anticyclonic wind flow covers the area that is to the north of the
line that goes from NW Cuba toward the middle Texas Gulf coast. 
Weak cyclonic wind flow covers the Caribbean Sea coastal waters of
NW Cuba, through the Yucatan Channel, to 25N92W in the Gulf.

Moderate or slower winds, and slight seas, cover the entire area.

Weak high pressure centered over the north-central Gulf will 
shift eastward to the NE Gulf this afternoon allowing for moderate
to fresh southerly winds to exist over the far western Gulf. 
Otherwise, rather tranquil marine conditions are expected over the
majority of the basin through the end of the week. A weak and 
mostly dry cold front may move off the Texas Thu morning. The 
moderate to fresh southerly winds will diminish at this time. The 
front is expected to reach the southeastern Gulf Thu night. Fresh 
northerly winds west of the front will diminish Fri afternoon as 
high pressure builds in the wake of the front. Southeast winds are
expected to increase slightly over the central and western Gulf 
Sun and Sun night. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

An Atlantic Ocean cold front passes through 24N70W, to the SE tip
of Cuba. A stationary front continues from SE Cuba, to western 
Jamaica, to the border of S Honduras/NW Nicaragua. Weak cyclonic
wind flow covers the Caribbean Sea coastal waters of NW Cuba, 
through the Yucatan Channel, to 25N92W in the Gulf.
Moderate or slower winds are from 70W westward. Fresh to strong 
SE winds are from 18N68W 14N60W southward. Moderate to fresh SE 
winds are elsewhere from 70W eastward. Moderate seas that range 
from 6 feet to 7 feet are from 72W eastward. Slight seas are from 
72W westward.

The 24-hour rainfall totals in inches, for the period that ended 
at 26/1200 UTC, are: 0.27 in San Juan in Puerto Rico; and 0.05 in 
Montego Bay in Jamaica. This information is from the Pan American 
Temperature and Precipitation Tables/MIATPTPAN.

A stationary front from eastern Cuba to eastern Honduras will 
dissipate today. Moderate to fresh winds offshore Colombia will 
strengthen toward the end of the week. Mainly moderate to locally 
fresh winds will prevail elsewhere in the central and eastern 
Caribbean through Fri as well as the Tropical N Atlantic. These 
winds will gradually expand in coverage through the upcoming 
weekend. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale-Force Wind Warning is ending this afternoon. Please, refer
to the SPECIAL FEATURES section for details about the sea heights
and the wind speeds from 20N northward from 55W westward.

A cold front passes through 31N66W, to 24N70W, to the SE tip of 
Cuba. A stationary front continues from SE Cuba, to western 
Jamaica, to the border of S Honduras/NW Nicaragua. A surface 
trough is about 300 nm to the NW of the cold front, and it reaches
the Florida Keys. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to 
isolated strong is within 510 nm to the east of the cold front 
from 25N northward. The 24-hour rainfall totals in inches, for 
the period that ended at 26/1200 UTC, are: 1.20 in Bermuda; and 
0.61 in Nassau in the Bahamas. This information is from the Pan 
American Temperature and Precipitation Tables/MIATPTPAN.

Broad surface anticyclonic wind flow covers the Atlantic Ocean 
from 10N northward from 65W eastward, and away from the 31N66W 
24N70W cold front. 

Rough seas are from 07N to 24N from 35W eastward. Moderate seas
are in the remainder of the Atlantic Ocean. Fresh to strong NE 
to E winds are within 1100 nm to 1500 nm to the south of 31N11W 
27N22W 29N38W 28N54W. Moderate or slower winds are in the 
remainder of the Atlantic Ocean.

A cold front extending from 31N66W to 26N69W and to the eastern 
tip of Cuba will begin to weaken as it reaches from near 31N60W to
27N65W and stationary to Hispaniola tonight then dissipate Thu. 
By late tonight, marine conditions will improve under a weak 
pressure pattern. The next cold front is expected to move offshore
the southeastern United States Thu night. This front will reach 
from near 31N73W to eastern Cuba early Fri and from near 31N65W to
NW Haiti Fri night. Fresh to strong winds are expected on either 
side of the front N of about 27N Fri. High pressure will settle 
over the western part of the area Sat and Sat night allowing for 
generally calm conditions over most of the area. A weak cold front
may move across the western and central forecast waters Sun and 
Sun night. 

$$
mt/ja