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Post-Tropical Cyclone Kyle Discussion Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122020
500 AM AST Sun Aug 16 2020
 
Shortwave infrared satellite imagery and earlier ASCAT data 
indicate that Kyle's circulation has become very elongated, and the 
center has become ill defined.  Model analyses and satellite imagery 
also suggest that the low is now attached to a prominent 
warm/stationary front to its east and a weaker trailing cold front 
to its southwest.  Therefore, Kyle has become an extratropical low, 
and its maximum winds are estimated to be 35 kt based on the earlier 
ASCAT data.  Global models indicate that Kyle's winds should 
continue to decrease over the next couple of days, with the system 
dissipating or becoming absorbed by another area of low pressure in 
about 48 hours.

The initial motion is eastward, or 080/17 kt.  Since Kyle is 
embedded in zonal mid-latitude flow, this general heading and speed 
are expected to continue during the next day or two until the 
cyclone dissipates.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  16/0900Z 40.0N  58.9W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 12H  16/1800Z 40.4N  55.7W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  17/0600Z 40.4N  51.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  17/1800Z 39.9N  47.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  18/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
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Forecaster Berg
 
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