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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
200 AM HST Sun Aug 18 2024

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

1. Approximately 1700 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a broad 
trough of low pressure located well west-southwest of the southern 
tip of the Baja California peninsula.  This system is forecast to 
interact with another disturbance to its west-southwest over the 
next several days, which could limit additional development if this 
system does not become the dominant disturbance. Regardless, a 
tropical depression could still form during the middle part of the 
week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward over the 
western portion of the East Pacific basin before it possibly merges 
with the disturbance currently located further west. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.


2. Approximately 1300 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii:
Another area of low pressure located well southeast of the Hawaiian 
Islands is currently associated with some disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms on its western side. This disturbance is forecast to 
interact with the disturbance located to its east. If this system 
becomes the dominant disturbance, some gradual development is 
possible and a tropical depression could form by the middle part of 
this week while it initially moves slowly over the western portion 
of the East Pacific.  A faster west-northwestward motion into the 
Central Pacific basin is likely by the latter portion of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days.

Forecaster Gibbs