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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Jul 19 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A low pressure system located a little more than 1200 miles 
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
is producing a small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
The low is beginning to move over cooler waters, so the system only 
has a small window of opportunity to become a tropical depression 
over the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward to 
westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

2. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 700 miles 
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are 
associated with a tropical wave.  Environmental conditions are 
expected to be conducive for development of this system, and a 
tropical depression could form around the middle of the week while 
it moves west-southwestward and then westward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Berg