689 
AXNT20 KNHC 060844
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Mar 6 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0800 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the 
Atlantic high pressure and and the Colombian low will support 
fresh to near gale-force trades across the central and eastern 
Caribbean through Mon. Winds offshore of Colombia will pulse to 
gale-force during the overnight hours through Sat night. Seas of 8
to 12 ft are expected with the strongest winds.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml 

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
near 10N14W, then extends southwestward to 04N17W. The ITCZ continues
from 04N17W to 00N35W to the coast of Brazil near 02S44W. 
Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 04N between 20W and
31W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Surface troughs are analyzed over the north-central Gulf, the
western FL Peninsula, and the northern Yucatan Peninsula. All
three troughs are supporting the development of scattered moderate
convection along and near each trough axis. Otherwise, mostly
moderate trades prevail across the Gulf, with locally fresh to
strong trades occurring near the FL Straits and offshore the
northern Yucatan Peninsula. Seas are 4-7 ft through the FL
Straits, and 2-5 ft elsewhere.

For the forecast, Atlantic high pressure will extend a broad ridge
southwestward into the Gulf through early next week. The
pressure gradient between the ridge and low pressure over Mexico
will support mainly moderate to fresh E to SE winds basin-wide,
pulsing to fresh to strong near the northern Yucatan in the
evenings. Seas will be slight to moderate through the forecast
period. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA... 

Please see Special Features section above regarding a Gale Warning 
in the south-central Caribbean. 

Fresh to strong winds are across the central Caribbean, with the 
strongest winds of 25 to 35 kt offshore Colombia, where seas are 
in the 8 to 12 ft range. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate 
seas dominate the eastern Caribbean with moderate to locally fresh
winds and moderate seas over the NW Caribbean, including the Gulf
of Honduras. Fresh to strong winds are filling through the
Windward Passage from the Atlantic. 

For the forecast, a ridge of high pressure will prevail N of the 
area into the weekend. The pressure gradient between the ridge and
the Colombian low will support fresh to near gale-force trades 
across the central and eastern Caribbean through early next week. 
Winds offshore of Colombia will pulse to gale-force during the 
overnight hours through Sat night. Fresh to strong NE winds will 
pulse in the Windward Passage and in the lee of Cuba through Sat 
evening. In the Gulf of Honduras, fresh to strong winds will pulse
at night through Sun night, then moderate to fresh thereafter. 
Rough seas in fresh easterly trade wind swell over the tropical N 
Atlantic will continue through Tue.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN... 

A ridge dominates the Atlantic forecast region, with a 1037 mb 
high pressure located NE of the Azores, and a 1028 mb high
pressure situated in the vicinity of Bermuda. Under the influence
of this ridge, fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas are 
observed per scatterometer and altimeter data across much of the 
waters E of 50W. Moderate to fresh winds dominate the area S of 
25N and W of 50W, with seas to 8 ft E of the Bahamas. Gentle to 
moderate winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere, except fresh
to strong NE-E winds N of a shear line from northern Morocco to
just S of the Canary Islands.

For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh easterly winds 
will prevail S of 25N through Tue night, reaching strong speeds N 
of Hispaniola into the Windward passage at times. Rough seas will 
prevail within these winds and E of the central and southern 
Bahamas through Tue. Moderate or weaker winds can be expected 
elsewhere across the region. 

$$
Lewitsky