000
AXNT20 KNHC 010549
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Apr 1 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western and Central Atlantic Large Swell: 
A weakening stationary front extends southwestward from near the
Azores across 31N44W to 26N52W. A shear line continues from 26N52W
to near the Windward Passage. Residual large NE swell along with
wind waves are sustaining seas of 12 to 15 ft up to 300 nm
northwest of the stationary front and shear line east of 66W. As
both swell and wind waves decline further tonight through Wed
morning, this should allow seas to drop below 12 ft on Wed
afternoon.

Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas and Offshore Waters
Forecasts issued by the National Hurricane Center, at the 
following websites:
MIAHSFAT2.shtm'>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtm and https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php
for more details.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough is confined to Africa. An ITCZ extends
southwestward from off the Liberia coast at 03N14W across 00N30W
to near Sao Luis, Brazil. Scattered moderate to strong convection
is observed from 00N to 05N between 10W and 25W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A broad subtropical ridge over the western Atlantic extends
southwestward across northern Florida to near Tampico, Mexico. 
Fresh to strong E winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are present across
the Florida Straits. Moderate with locally fresh NE to E winds and
3 to 5 ft seas exist north of the Yucatan Peninsula and in the
eastern Bay of Campeche. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds and seas
at 2 to 4 ft prevail for the rest of the Gulf.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE winds and moderate 
seas are expected over the eastern Gulf through Sat night. Over 
the western half of the Gulf, moderate to fresh SE winds are 
forecast, except for strong E to SE winds off the northern Yucatan
Peninsula at night. A cold front may enter the western Gulf 
Sunday.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Strong to near gale-force ENE trades and 6 to 9 ft seas are
evident off northwestern Colombia, while fresh to strong NE trades
and seas of 4 to 6 ft dominate the lee of Cuba, north-central and
the rest of the south-central basin. Fresh to strong ENE winds 
and 7 to 9 ft seas are seen in and southwest of the Windward
Passage. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds and seas at 3 to 5 ft
prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to 
strong winds and rough seas offshore Colombia through the weekend,
pulsing to near gale at night through midweek. This pattern will 
also support fresh to strong NE winds in the lee side of Cuba, the
Windward Passage, and south of Hispaniola through Thu night. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Refer to the Special Features section for information about the 
large swell. 

A weakening stationary front extends southwestward from near the
Azores across 31N44W to 26N52W. A shear line continues from 26N52W
to near the Windward Passage. Scattered showers are found near and
up to 200 nm northwest of these features. A fre-frontal trough
near 19N58W is triggering widely scattered showers from 20N to 22N
between 55W and 68W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section at
the beginning for additional weather in the Atlantic Basin.

Besides the very rough seas mentioned in the Special Features
section, fresh to strong with locally near gale-force NE winds and
8 to 11 ft seas are up to 300 nm northwest of the boundary, except
gentle to moderate SE winds with 5 to 8 ft seas are found north of
27N and west of 72W. To the east, north of 20N between 35W and the
stationary front/shear line, moderate with locally fresh NE winds
and 7 to 9 ft seas in large northerly swells prevail. Gentle to
moderate NE winds and 5 to 8 ft seas exist for the remainder of 
Atlantic from 00N to 20N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles.

For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure will prevail 
across the western Atlantic into this weekend. Fresh to strong NE
to E winds, and rough to very rough seas, are expected across 
most of the offshore forecast waters through the remainder of the 
week. Winds will diminish this weekend with seas slowly subsiding.

$$

Chan