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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion


727 
AXPZ20 KNHC 260915
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sun Apr 26 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A trough axis extends from 09N79W to 08N105W. The ITCZ extends 
from 08N105W to 10N125W to beyond 07N140W. A second ITCZ is 
south of the discussion waters. Numerous moderate to isolated 
strong convection is active from 10N to 12N between 105W and 
120W. Scattered moderate convection is active from 10N to 12N
between 125W and 132W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Strong to near-gale force SW to W gap winds persist across the
northern Gulf of California currently, following a cold front
moving through the area. Seas are likely 5-7 ft over the northern
Gulf of California. Weak ridging following the front is 
supporting moderate to locally fresh northwest winds over the 
offshore waters of Baja California, with gentle to moderate winds
elsewhere. Combined seas are 4-6 ft off Baja California, 3-5 ft 
off southwest and southern Mexico, and 1-3 ft in the Gulf of 
California.

For the forecast, the winds over the northern Gulf of California will
diminish later this morning as weak ridging builds over the 
area. The pattern will support moderate to fresh northwest winds 
over the Baja California waters through mid-week, except for 
moderate to fresh to occasionally strong winds funneling along 
the coast of Baja California Sur between between Cabo San Lazaro 
and Punta Eugenia tonight through Mon morning. Elsewhere, mostly 
light to gentle west to northwest winds are expected through 
early next week. Moderate to fresh winds may develop in the 
central and southern Gulf of California by the middle of next 
week as the pressure gradient tightens slightly. 

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Light to gentle variable winds prevail north of the equator along 
with seas of 2-4 ft. Gentle to moderate southeast winds along 
with seas of 5-7 ft in long-period south to southwest swell 
continue south of the equator. 

For the forecast, a light gradient will maintain rather tranquil
conditions over the Central American and Colombian waters 
through mid-week while moderate to fresh southeast winds and 
moderate long- period south to southwest swell remain offshore 
Ecuador. Winds may pulse to moderate to fresh in the Gulf of 
Papagayo starting Tue morning.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The ridge north of 20N is disrupted by a trough extending from
30N125W to 22N140W. Moderate NE wind and 5-6 ft seas is evident
west of the trough, with mostly gentle breezes and 4-6 ft
combined seas east of the trough. Moderate NE trade winds and 5-7
ft seas are ongoing from 08N to 20N west of 120W, with gentle
breezes and 4-6 ft elsewhere, except for 3-5 ft seas east of 95W.

For the forecast, the rather weak high pressure across the 
region will generally maintain moderate to occasionally fresh 
trade winds from the ITCZ to 20N and west of 120W. Combined seas 
will be in the range of 5-7 ft over the western part of the area 
through the remainder of the weekend, locally to 8 ft near 140W 
through early evening, then 4-6 ft across the entire area early 
next week, except near 8 ft along 03.4S into early next week. 
Seas may build slightly over the waters north of 10N and west of 
120W by the middle of next week in new swells.

$$
Christensen