000
AXPZ20 KNHC 052006
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Tue May 5 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2000 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 09N84W to 07N110W. The ITCZ 
continues from 07N110W to 07N140W. Scattered moderate convection
is noted from 04N to 09N between 80W and 105W. Scattered 
moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 10N 
between 117W and 140W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate SW gap winds are in the northern Gulf of California, 
with seas of 4-5 ft. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 3 ft 
or less, are over the remainder of the Gulf. Moderate winds, 
and seas of 6-7 ft, prevail west of the Baja California 
peninsula. Gentle to locally moderate winds, and seas of 4-6 ft,
are found elsewhere. 

For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds will prevail offshore 
Baja California through midweek before diminishing slightly. 
Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are 
expected through the remainder of the week and over the weekend.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate winds are over the Gulf of Papagayo, extending 
downstream to near 91W. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere.
Seas are moderate in S-SW swell across the waters, except slight
offshore Colombia.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh easterly winds will pulse at
night in the Papagayo region through Sat night, then pulse to 
strong Sun night. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and 
moderate seas in southerly swell are expected. A set of SW swell 
may briefly build seas to rough south of the Galapagos Islands on
Fri.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A ridge dominates the forecast waters north of the ITCZ. The 
pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressure in the 
vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds 
north of the ITCZ to 20N between 130W and 140W. Seas are 6-8 ft 
over these waters. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and 
moderate seas are noted.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient will support fresh 
trades, strong at times, north of the ITCZ to about 20N and west
of 120W through the remainder of the week and the weekend, with 
seas of 6-8 ft across this area. Mainly gentle to moderate winds 
and moderate seas will prevail elsewhere through the week, except
seas building to rough south of the Equator by mid-week in 
southerly swell.

$$
AL