378 
AXPZ20 KNHC 280249
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Tue Apr 28 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0230 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A trough axis extends from 09N79W to 13N90W to 12N95W. The ITCZ extends
from 12N95W to 08N115W to 11N130W to 08N140W. Scattered moderate
convection is active within 60 nm of the ITCZ between 100W and 
125W. A second ITCZ south of the area, extending from 03.4S110W 
to 02S125W and beyond. Scattered moderate convection is within
115W and 120W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Ridging off Baja California combined with troughing over northwest
Mexico supports moderate to fresh winds off the peninsula, with 
moderate winds in the central Gulf of California. Winds are 
mainly gentle elsewhere. Combined seas are 5-7 ft off Baja 
California, 3-5 ft off southwest and southern Mexico, and 1-3 ft 
in the Gulf of California.

For the forecast, ridging will build over the area through mid week. 
The pattern will support moderate to fresh northwest winds over 
the Baja California waters. Elsewhere, mostly light to gentle 
west to northwest winds are expected through the week. Moderate 
to fresh winds may develop in the central and southern Gulf of 
California by the middle of the week as the pressure gradient 
tightens slightly, then pulsing to fresh to strong from near 
Punta Eugenia southward by early Thu into Thu evening. Similar 
winds will pulse in the central and southern Gulf of California 
then as well. Looking ahead, a northerly gap wind event is 
possible by Sat night across the Gulf of Tehuantepec.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Light to gentle variable winds and 3-6 ft combined seas prevail 
north of the Equator. Gentle to moderate SE winds prevail south 
of the Equator, within 5-7 ft seas in S to SW swell.

For the forecast, a light gradient will maintain rather tranquil
conditions over the Central American and Colombian waters
through the week while moderate to fresh southeast winds and
moderate long-period south to southwest swell remain offshore
Ecuador. Seas will subside slightly by the end of the week into
the weekend. Winds will pulse to moderate to fresh in the Gulf
of Papagayo and Gulf of Panama overnight Tue through Thu.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The ridge north of the ITCZ is disrupted by a trough extending 
from 26N126W to 18N129W. Moderate to locally fresh NE winds are 
found north of the ITCZ to 20N west of 120W. Mainly light to 
gentle winds are elsewhere across the open waters. Seas are 6-8 
ft in mixed SE and NW swell south of the Equator, and 4-7 ft 
across the remainder of the waters.

For the forecast, a rather weak high pressure across the region 
along with persistent troughing over the northwest waters will 
generally maintain moderate to occasionally fresh trade winds 
from the ITCZ to 20N and west of 120W. Combined seas will be in 
the range of 5-7 ft over the western part of the area and 4-6 ft
elsewhere, except near 8 ft along 03.4S through the early part 
of the week. Seas may build slightly over the waters north of 10N
and west of 120W by the middle of the week in new swells.

$$
Christensen