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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 260204
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Tue May 26 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0200 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 87W and N of 03N, moving 
west at 10 kt. Nearby convection is noted in the ITCZ/monsoon 
trough section below.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 09N84W to 08N102W. The ITCZ 
extends from 08N102W to 10N127W to 08N140W. Scattered moderate 
to isolated strong convection is noted from 03N to 10N east of 
98W, and from 02N to 12N between 112W and 140W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A weak ridge extends from 30N135W through the Revillagigedo 
Islands. The pressure gradient between the ridge and a surface 
trough over the Gulf of California is supporting moderate to 
fresh winds across the waters west of Baja California. Gentle to 
moderate winds are south of Baja California and west of Cabo 
Corrientes. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are in 
the 4-6 ft range over the open waters, and 1-3 ft in the Gulf of 
California.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds will prevail offshore 
Baja California through the end of the week. A set of NW swell 
will move into the waters off Baja California Norte by midweek, 
supporting combined seas as high as 9 ft. Fresh SW to W gap winds
will develop across the northern Gulf of California Tue and Wed.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh winds are found across the Gulf of Papagayo . Gentle to 
moderate winds prevail between Colombia and the Galapagos 
Islands. Light to gentle winds are elsewhere across the 
discussion waters. Seas are 5-7 ft in S swell between Colombia 
and the Galapagos Islands, and 4-6 ft elsewhere.

For the forecast, fresh gap winds will pulse across the Papagayo
region through Tue, with moderate winds thereafter. Gentle to 
moderate winds will prevail between Colombia and the Galapagos 
Islands. Light to gentle winds are expected elsewhere. Moderate 
seas will prevail through Thu. Large SW swell will enter the 
waters south of the Equator Fri, bringing rough seas to the 
waters between the Galapagos Islands and Colombia. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A broad surface ridge extends across the waters north of 20N. 
The pressure gradient between this area of high pressure and 
lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting moderate
to fresh NE trade winds north of the ITCZ to 20N and west of 
110W, where seas are 6 to 8 ft. Gentle to moderate winds are 
elsewhere north of the ITCZ. Gentle to moderate SE winds are 
found south of the ITCZ. Seas over these waters are in the 5-7 ft
range in mixed SW and N to NE swell. 

For the forecast, little change is expected in winds the next 
few days. Large NW to N swell generated by a deep low well N of 
the area will enter waters north of 27N by midweek, with wave 
heights in excess of 8 ft spreading as far south as 20N by Fri, 
then subsiding. The combination of wind waves developing from 
fresh to locally strong trades N of the ITCZ and W of 120W, and a
mix of N and S swell, will bring rough seas over these waters.

$$
AL