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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 260131
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Sat Apr 26 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0130 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 09N84W to 06N110W. The ITCZ
continues from 06N110W to beyond 06N140W. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 10N between 80W
and 120W, and from 01N to 10N between 120W and 140W.  

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Gentle to moderate winds prevail over much of the open waters off
Mexico, with seas in the 5-6 ft range. Moderate to fresh winds,
and seas of 2-3 ft are over the northern Gulf of California.
Light to gentle winds, and seas 2 ft or less, cover the remainder
of the Gulf waters. 

For the forecast, a weak cold front will move into the Baja Norte 
waters Sat and dissipate across the central Baja waters Sun, 
with high pressure building in its wake across the area waters 
through Mon. Fresh to strong SW winds will pulse in the northern 
Gulf of California tonight and Sat night. Moderate NW winds 
across the Baja waters will freshen late Sat through late Mon. N
winds in the central Gulf of Tehuantepec will pulse fresh to 
occasional strong at night through this weekend. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to locally fresh winds are in the Gulfs of Papagayo and
Panama. Mainly gentle to locally moderate winds prevail
elsewhere. S to SW swell has propagated into the waters S of the
Galapagos Islands and eastward to Ecuador, producing seas of 7-8
ft. Seas are in the 5-6 ft range elsewhere.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh E winds will pulse across 
the Papagayo region each night and morning into next week. In the
Gulf of Panama, moderate to locally fresh winds will pulse 
nightly into Sat, with generally moderate winds expected 
thereafter. Cross equatorial S-SW swell will peak over the 
regional waters late Sat through Sun. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA....

High pressure dominates the waters N of 10N. The pressure 
gradient between this area of high pressure and lower pressure 
in the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting moderate to fresh NE 
trade winds N of the ITCZ to near 22N W of 120W. Seas over these 
waters are in the 6-9 ft range. Gentle to moderate N to NE winds,
and seas of 5-7 ft prevail elsewhere N of the ITCZ and W of 
110W. S of the ITCZ/monsoon trough, light to gentle winds and 
seas of 6-8 ft prevail. 

For the forecast, locally fresh N to NW winds and rough seas 
will develop tonight north of 27N behind a cold front sweeping 
across the northern waters, and reaching 120W by midday Sat. 
Little change in winds and seas are expected elsewhere N of the 
ITCZ. Cross equatorial S swell will propagate into the southern 
waters through the weekend, raising seas to 8-9 ft south of 10N 
between 100W and 120W through late Sat before seas slowly subside
through Sun. 

$$
AL